香港大學民意研究計劃今日如期在《港大民意網站》(http://hkupop.hku.hk)發放市民對特首董建華的最新評分、市民對特區政府及立法會議員整體表現滿意程度的最新調查結果。《民意網站》一般逢星期二下午二時於網上公佈定期調查結果，公眾假期除外，並同時預告來週的發放項目。《民意網站》會定期對該等安排作出檢討及調整。

按照計劃，《民意網站》下次發放數據的日期及時間為十二月三日星期二下午二時，屆時將會發放市民對香港新聞自由的滿意程度，及其對香港傳媒整體公信力評分的最新調查結果；此外，網站亦將同時公佈市民對最熟悉政治團體的最新評分。

根據《民意網站》今日發佈的最新調查結果，市民對特首董建華於十一月中（十一月十三至二十日）的評分為47.4分，較十一月初的數字微升0.3分，升幅在統計上並不顯著。另外，市民對特區政府的滿意程度，最新數字為五成一不滿、一成七滿意、二成八表示「一半半」、沒有意見者則佔百分之五。數字與十月中的調查結果差異不大。

至於市民對立法會議員整體表現的評價方面，最新數字為三成一不滿、一成八滿意、二成九謂「一半半」，二成二則未能給予肯定答案。相較九月中的數字，調查結果幾乎沒有改變。

《民意網站》今日所載的最新調查，屬於訪員執行的隨機抽樣電話訪問，目標對象皆為十八歲或以上之操粵語的香港市民，受訪人數超過一千人。在九成半置信水平下，特首董建華評分的抽樣誤差為正負1.4分，而各個百分比的抽樣誤差則少於正負三個百分比。所謂「九成半置信水平」，是指倘若以不同隨機樣本重複進行有關調查100次，則95次的結果會在正負誤差之內。各界人士如對《民意網站》所載調查的方法有任何疑問，研究組的成員會樂於解答，但不會在現階段就調查結果作出評述。此等安排將會在人手充裕後再作檢討。《民意網站》由民意研究計劃主任鍾庭耀博士負責，與香港大學立場無關。

The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.hku.hk) the latest rating of CE Tung Chee-hwa, as well as people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government and members of the Legislative Council in general. POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday at 2 pm via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the forthcoming week. We will review and adjust this operation regularly.

According to this schedule, the date and time of our next release will be December 3, 2002, Tuesday, at 2 pm, the latest results on people's satisfaction with the freedom of press in Hong Kong, their appraisal of the credibility of the news media in Hong Kong, as well as the ratings of the most well-known political groups will be released.

According to the latest figures released today, CE Tung Chee-hwa's rating registered in mid-November (November 13-20) was 47.4 marks, representing a slight increase of 0.3 mark when compared with that of early November, which was not statistically significant. Regarding people's appraisal of the HKSAR Government, 51% of the respondents were dissatisfied with its performance, 17% were satisfied, 28% said "half-half", while 5% did not give a definite answer. The results were similar to those obtained in mid-October.

As regards people's appraisal of the members of the Legislative Council in general, 31% of the respondents were dissatisfied with their performance, 18% were satisfied, 29% said "half-half", while 22% did not give a definite answer. The figures stayed virtually unchanged when compared with those registered in mid-September.

The new survey reported in the POP Site today is a random telephone survey conducted by interviewers, targeting at Cantonese speakers in Hong Kong of age 18 or above. The sample size of the survey is over 1,000 respondents. At 95% confidence level, the sampling error of the rating of CE is plus/minus 1.4 marks, while that of all percentages is less than plus/minus 3 percentage points. That means if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not comment on the findings at this stage. Such an arrangement would be reviewed when more resources are available. Please note that Dr CHUNG Ting-yiu Robert, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is solely responsible for the work published in the POP Site, which does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong.