香港大學民意研究計劃今日如期在《港大民意網站》(http://hkupop.hku.hk)發放市民對特首董建華的最新評分、市民對特區政府及立法會議員整體表現滿意程度、市民最關注的問題及對現時政治、經濟及社會環境滿意程度的最新調查結果。《民意網站》一般逢星期二下午二時於網上公佈定期調查結果，公眾假期除外，並同時預告來週的發放項目。《民意網站》會定期對該等安排作出檢討及調整。

由於下星期二是公眾假期，《民意網站》下次發放數據的日期及時間將順延至十月八日星期二下午二時，屆時將會公佈十大內地及台灣政治人物的最新評分、市民對台灣獨立及兩岸統一的最新調查結果。

根據《民意網站》今日發佈的最新調查結果，特首董建華在九月中（九月十二至十七日）的評分為48.5分，較九月初的數字微升0.8分，升幅並不顯著。至於市民對特區政府的滿意程度，最新數字為五成不滿、一成六滿意、二成九表示「一半半」、沒有意見者則佔四個百分比。數字與八月中的調查結果差異不大。

至於市民對立法會議員整體表現的評價方面，最新數字為三成不滿、一成七滿意、二成九謂「一半半」，二成三則未能給予肯定答案。相較七月初的數字，不滿數字大幅上升十個百分比，滿意數字則相對下降五個百分比。

至於市民最關注的問題，九月中的數字為七成三被訪市民表示最關心經濟問題，另有一成九表示最關心社會問題，表示最關心政治問題的，只有二個百分比，與六月初的數字變化不大。

有關市民對現時政治環境的滿意程度，最新數字為三成滿意、二成八不滿、二成三表示「一半半」、沒有意見者則佔二成。相較六月初的調查結果，滿意數字上升四個百分比；不滿數字則幾乎沒有改變。

在三個被評的項目當中，經濟環境仍然是被訪市民最不滿的一環，最新調查發現，八成一被訪市民不滿現時的經濟環境、只有五個百分比表示滿意、一成表示「一半半」、沒有意見者則佔四個百分比。相較六月初的數字，不滿數字上升四個百分比，創回歸以來的新高；滿意數字則下跌三個百分比。

至於社會環境方面，最新數字為四成一不滿、二成七滿意、二成八表示「一半半」、沒有意見者則佔五個百分比。相較六月初的調查結果，不滿數字回落四個百分比，其他數字的變化並不明顯。

《民意網站》今日所載的最新調查，屬於訪員執行的隨機抽樣電話訪問，目標對象為十八歲或以上之操粵語的香港市民，受訪人數超過一千人。在九成半置信水平下，特首董建華評分的抽樣誤差為正負1.4分，而各個百分比的抽樣誤差則少於正負三個百分比。所謂「九成半置信水平」，是指倘若以不同隨機樣本重複進行有關調查100次，則95次的結果會在正負誤差之內。各界人士如對《民意網站》所載調查的方法有任何疑問，研究組的成員會樂於解答，但不會在現階段就調查結果作出評述。此等安排將會在人手充裕後再作檢討。《民意網站》由民意研究計劃主任鍾庭耀博士負責，與香港大學立場無關。

The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.hku.hk) the latest rating of CE Tung Chee-hwa, people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government and members of the Legislative Council in general, as well as the latest results on people's most concerned problems and their satisfaction with the current political, economic and social conditions. POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday at 2 pm via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the forthcoming week. We will review and adjust this operation regularly.

Because next Tuesday is a public holiday, the date of our next release will be postponed to October 8, 2002, Tuesday, at 2 pm. The latest ratings of the top ten political figures in Mainland China and Taiwan, as well as people's opinions towards the independence of Taiwan and cross-strait reunification will be released.

According to the latest figures released today, CE Tung Chee-hwa's rating registered in mid-September (September 12-17) was 48.5 marks, representing an increase of 0.8 mark when compared with that of early September, which was statistically insignificant. Regarding people's appraisal of the HKSAR Government, 50% of the respondents were dissatisfied with its performance, 16% were satisfied, 29% said "half-half", while 4% did not give a definite answer. The results were similar to those obtained in mid-August.

As regards people's appraisal of the members of the Legislative Council in general, 30% of the respondents were dissatisfied with their performance, 17% were satisfied, 29% said "half-half", while 23% did not give a definite answer. Compared with the figures registered in early July, the dissatisfaction figure has significantly increased by 10 percentage points, whereas a drop of 5 percentage points was noticed for the satisfaction figure.

As for people's most concerned problems, the latest findings showed that 73% of the respondents were most concerned with economic problems, another 19% were most concerned with social problems, while only 2% attached their greatest concern to political problems. These figures are more or less the same as those obtained in early June.

Regarding people's satisfaction with the current political condition, the latest results indicated that 30% of the respondents were satisfied, 28% were not, 23% said "half-half", while 20% did not give a definite answer. Compared to the findings obtained in early June, the satisfaction figure has increased by 4 percentage points, while the dissatisfaction figure has remained almost the same.

Of the three areas of concern, people continued to feel most dissatisfied with the economic condition. The latest results showed that 81% of the respondents were dissatisfied, 5% were satisfied, 10% said "half-half", while 4% did not give a definite answer. When compared with the figures registered in early June, the dissatisfaction figure has increased by 4 percentage points to its record high since the handover, whereas the satisfaction figure has dropped by 3 percentage points.

With regard to the social condition, 41% of the respondents were dissatisfied, 27% were satisfied, 28% said "half-half", while 5% did not give a definite answer. Compared to the results of early June, the satisfaction figure has dropped by 4 percentage points, whilst other figures remained more or less the same.

The new survey reported in the POP Site today is a random telephone survey conducted by interviewers, targeting at Cantonese speakers in Hong Kong of age 18 or above. The sample size of the survey is over 1,000 respondents. At 95% confidence level, the sampling error of people's rating of CE is plus/minus 1.4 marks, while that of all percentages is less than plus/minus 3 percentage points. That means if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not comment on the findings at this stage. Such an arrangement would be reviewed when more resources are available. Please note that Dr CHUNG Ting-yiu Robert, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is solely responsible for the work published in the POP Site, which does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong.