香港大學民意研究計劃今日如期在《港大民意網站》(http://hkupop.hku.hk)發放市民對特區及北京中央政府的信任程度，及對一國兩制信心的最新調查結果。《民意網站》一般逢星期二下午二時於網上公佈定期調查結果，公眾假期除外，並同時預告來週的發放項目。《民意網站》會定期對該等安排作出檢討及調整。

按照計劃，《民意網站》下次發放數據的日期及時間為七月四日星期四下午二時，屆時將會公佈市民對各問責制主要官員及特首董建華的評分；七月九日星期二下午二時則會公佈市民對台灣獨立及兩岸統一，及對中港前途信心的最新調查結果。

根據《民意網站》今日發佈的最新調查結果，市民對特區政府的信任程度連續二次回落，六月中（六月十七至十九日）的最新數字顯示，四成四被訪市民表示信任特區政府，較四月中的數字下跌四個百分比；表示不信任的被訪市民則上升五個百分比，佔二成六。

至於市民對北京中央政府的信任程度，六月中的最新數字為四成半信任、二成半不信任、二成一謂「一半半」。其中，不信任數字比四月中的調查結果上升八個百分比；而市民對北京中央政府的信任程度仍稍高於特區政府，但差異並不明顯。此外，五成六被訪市民對一國兩制有信心；表示沒有信心的，佔三成三，負面數字較四月中的二成八上升五個百分點。

《民意網站》今日所載的最新調查，屬於訪員執行的隨機抽樣電話訪問，目標對象為十八歲或以上之操粵語的香港市民，受訪人數超過一千人。在九成半置信水平下，各個百分比的抽樣誤差為少於正負三個百分比。所謂「九成半置信水平」，是指倘若以不同隨機樣本重複進行有關調查100次，則95次的結果會在正負誤差之內。各界人士如對《民意網站》所載調查的方法有任何疑問，研究組的成員會樂於解答，但不會在現階段就調查結果作出評述。此等安排將會在人手充裕後再作檢討。《民意網站》由民意研究計劃主任鍾庭耀博士負責，與香港大學立場無關。

The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.hku.hk) the latest findings on people's trust in the HKSAR and Beijing Central Governments, and their confidence in "one country, two systems". Our normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday at 2 pm via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the forthcoming week. We will review and adjust this operation regularly.

According to our schedule, the date and time of our next release will be July 4, 2002, Thursday, at 2 pm, the ratings of Principal Officials under the accountability system and that of CE Tung Chee-hwa will be released. Then, on July 9, 2002, Tuesday, at 2 pm, we will release the latest figures on people's opinions of the independence of Taiwan and cross-strait reunification, as well as people's confidence in Hong Kong's and China's future.

According to the survey findings released today, people's trust in the HKSAR Government has dropped for two consecutive times, and the latest figures captured in mid-June (June 17-19) revealed that 44% of the respondents trusted the HKSAR Government, a drop of four percentage points from that of mid-April. Meanwhile, the distrust level has increased by five percentage points, accounting for 26% of the overall sample.

As regards people's trust in the Beijing Central Government, the latest figures registered in mid-June showed that 45% of the respondents expressed trust, 25% did not, and 21% said "half-half". When compared with the result of mid-April, the distrust figure has increased by eight percentage points, and yet, people's trust in the central government was still slightly higher than that of the local government, though the difference was no longer significant. Finally, 56% of the respondents expressed confidence in "one country, two systems", 33% did not. The negative figure has increased for five percentage points when compared to the 28% registered in mid-April.

The new survey reported in the POP Site today is a random telephone survey conducted by interviewers, targeting at Cantonese speakers in Hong Kong of age 18 or above. The sample size of the survey is over 1,000 respondents. At 95% confidence level, the sampling error of all percentages is less than plus/minus 3 percentage points. That means if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not comment on the findings at this stage. Such an arrangement would be reviewed when more resources are available. Please note that Dr CHUNG Ting-yiu Robert, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is solely responsible for the work published in the POP Site, which does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong.